Friday, June 14, 2024

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50-200 Shifting Common Crossover Technique v1 Backtesting Outcomes


In a earlier article, I confirmed you the way to create a totally automated 50-200 shifting common crossover buying and selling technique, with out coding.

Now I will present you the backtesting outcomes of that technique for each market that I’ve examined.

I am going to present you each the great and unhealthy.

You need to backtest this technique your self to just remember to’re snug with it and that it truly works along with your dealer.

Even when a method does not work nicely, you possibly can check concepts on the way to enhance it and make it way more worthwhile.

Now let’s transfer on to the buying and selling plan and the outcomes for every market.

Keep in mind: That is solely a place to begin for YOUR buying and selling methods. That is for informational functions solely and the outcomes under is not going to assure profitable buying and selling. 

As I backtest new markets, I am going to add the outcomes to this web page.

Bookmark this web page and examine again periodically if you wish to get future updates.

The 50-200 Crossover Technique Buying and selling Plan

Moving Average crossover on chart

Listed here are the foundations for this plan:

  • Purchase
    • Purchase when the 50 SMA crosses above the 200 SMA
    • Cease Loss ultimately swing low
    • Danger 1% per commerce
    • Take revenue a 1R (1 occasions threat)
  • Promote
    • Purchase when the 50 SMA crosses under the 200 SMA
    • Cease Loss ultimately swing excessive
    • Danger 1% per commerce
    • Take revenue a 1R (1 occasions threat)

You’ll want to learn the full 50-200 Shifting Common Crossover automated technique tutorial to learn the way I did these backtests in only a few minutes, with out coding.

Backtests

EURUSD

Weekly Chart

On this timeframe, there is not sufficient information to pursue this technique.

With solely 10 trades, you merely will not get sufficient trades to make this viable.

EURUSD W 50-200 Crossover

Every day Chart

This truly seems to be fairly good.

True…the return may be very low, however the max drawdown can be low and the technique stayed worthwhile all through all the check.

So this may very well be a very good technique to optimize, or commerce in a number of markets, assuming that the outcomes are favorable in these markets too.

No ensures clearly, additional testing must be executed.

EURUSD D chart 50-200

4-Hour Chart

This technique was worthwhile for many of the testing interval, so this may very well be a very good timeframe to start out experimenting with.

Sure, the return was breakeven.

However the graph is extra promising than many of the others on this record.

It executed 209 trades, which is first rate.

If this works in different markets, then the mixed return might produce a big return.

Once more, backtest this for your self.

That is solely meant to be a place to begin.

EURUSD 4-hour results

1-Hour Chart

The return on this technique was breakeven, so there’s potential to presumably optimize this timeframe.

On the upside, the technique did execute fairly just a few trades.

EURUSD 1-hour 50-200 moving average crossover results

30-Minute Chart

The outcomes on this timeframe will not be value inspecting additional, no less than with this model of the technique.

EURUSD 30m

5-Minute Chart

The outcomes are horrible on the 5-minute chart, so no additional evaluation is critical.

EURUSD 5min backtesting results

AUDUSD

Weekly Chart

Not sufficient trades right here to start out utilizing this timeframe.

AUDUSD weekly results

Every day Chart

This may very well be tweaked as a result of the outcomes are breakeven. The largest challenge is that there aren’t very many trades, so I would not pursue this one.

AUDUSD daily results 50-200

4-Hour Chart

One other breakeven outcome, so it could be one thing value tweaking.

AUDUSD H4 50-200 crossover chart

1-Hour Chart

Breakeven once more. Possibly it is value just a few tweaks, however I would not spend a whole lot of time on it.

AUDUSD H1 results

30-Minute Chart

Fairly horrible outcomes, so most likely not value messing with. Transfer on.

AUDUSD M30 chart backtesting results

5-Minute Chart

Similar to with the EURUSD, the 5-minute chart is totally ineffective, so this isn’t value exploring.

It just about blew out the account.

audusd m5 results

Notes and Observations About this Technique

Thus far, the decrease timeframes are exhibiting a lot worse outcomes.

Due to this fact, it could be higher to stay to the day by day and 4-hour charts.

Additionally, the cease loss on this technique might not be supreme.

Typically the cease finally ends up being too distant and it takes awhile for worth to hit the goal.

Extra testing and optimization must be executed.

Learn to construct and tweak this technique and check your personal concepts and also you may come out with higher outcomes than me.

Conclusion

In order that’s how this technique stacks up in all of these markets.

I will be including new backtests as I do them, so make sure to bookmark this web page and examine again periodically to see if I’ve any new markets.

Keep in mind that it’s best to at all times backtest a method for your self. 

By no means depend on the outcomes of others, together with me. 

To be taught precisely how I created an automatic program to do the backtests above, WITHOUT coding, learn this tutorial.

 

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