Remaining Ideas on the Election

Remaining Ideas on the Election

Folks vote for a lot of completely different causes. One of many greatest points is the financial system. I’ve coated the financial system rather a lot over the previous few weeks.

We discovered that America’s financial system is sweet, even perhaps one of the best on this planet. America is making extra vitality than every other nation within the historical past of the world with historic low unemployment charges.

We realized that housing is dear due to the builders again within the nice recession amongst different issues. Lastly, I coated that immigation retains inflation low and that Trump’s tax and nationwide debt insurance policies can be disastrous. Importantly, Biden and Harris have lower down immigation even decrease than Trump and nobody would speak be speaking about immigation in any respect if Trump didn’t cease the bipartisan immigration invoice to strengthen the boarder.

There could also be a bit extra nuance to all these articles, however that’s the fast abstract.

In the event you’d like a shorter model of what I’ve coated, I like Retire By 40’s abstract of the place every candidate needs to take the financial system.

Maybe, I’ve been beating a useless horse, however it is a monetary web site and because it’s on folks’s thoughts, I have to cowl it. And so far as the election and politics go, I think about this would be the final put up on that for some time.

I really feel it’s vital to share some non-financial ideas. Whereas some folks can be single-issue voters on the financial system, I believe many others will vote based mostly on quite a few different issues which might be vital to them.

Voters OVERWHELMING Help solely ONE Candidate’s Insurance policies

A YouGov survey blind-tested 9025 voters on 100+ coverage proposals. The voters would solely see the coverage and select strongly agree, agree, unsure, disagree, or stongly disagree. Then they’d discover out later which coverage matched with which candidate.

The end result? “Almost all of Harris’s proposals acquired majority help amongst registered voters. Solely half of Trump’s did.”

In brief, virtually 100% of individuals choose the route that Harris needs to take the nation and solely half help the route Trump needs to go.

You possibly can take the take a look at your self, with this reward article to the Washington Submit.

One factor that got here out is that most individuals discovered that Harris’s insurance policies have been harder on crime. Along with that, “almost each crime-related coverage on Trump’s agenda checks poorly. Amongst his greatest misses: permitting the demise penalty as punishment for drug-related offenses (solely 29 p.c of voters help it); and giving cops full safety from private legal responsibility in civil fits (31 p.c).”

Democracy Itself is on the Poll

Do you want the power to vote for what you need or do you prefer to instructed what to do? I can inform you how my children would reply that query. They wouldn’t even have to consider it.

Some folks will say it’s political rhetoric to say that democracy is on the poll. Nevertheless, there are lots of of individuals in jail and some folks useless as a result of final riot to cease the peace alternate of energy.

The New York Occasions covers democracy on the poll fairly effectively and clearly. I’ll use most of their phrases right here, however it’s definitely worth the full learn:

Donald Trump has proven extra hostility to American democracy than every other president within the nation’s historical past. He tried to overturn an election end result. He celebrates political violence. The checklist goes on, and it’s acquainted by now….

The nation’s political system survived his first time period, in spite of everything, and plenty of Individuals understandably marvel how a lot completely different a second time period can be.

It actually may very well be completely different…

There are no less than six main methods Trump might weaken American democracy.

1. Prosecute critics…
2. Silence critics in different methods…
3. Reward allies and marketing campaign donors…
4. Change federal workers with loyalists…
5. Undermine beforehand enacted insurance policies…
6. Refuse to switch energy peacefully…

I do know that Trump supporters could ask why we’re not writing the same publication in regards to the Democratic Get together… However Trump’s anti-democratic habits is of a distinct order of magnitude. Pretending in any other case is fake stability…

[For example, Biden’s Justice Department] has indicted not solely outstanding Republicans (like Trump) but additionally outstanding Democrats (like Mayor Eric Adams and Senator Robert Menendez), a significant Democratic fund-raiser (Sam Bankman-Fried, the now imprisoned crypto govt) and even the president’s son (Hunter Biden)…

I additionally know that some Democrats will argue that the checklist right here is simply too brief and may embody Trump’s potential insurance policies on abortion, immigration, local weather change and extra. However it’s price distinguishing between coverage disputes and democracy itself…

Assaults on democracy are completely different. If democracy breaks down, the political system can lose the power to self-correct.

I lower out fairly a little bit of that article that gave examples of how all these issues aren’t simply theoretical or political rhetoric. I encourage you to learn the entire article in the event you aren’t satisfied what I offered right here.

Reproductive Rights

I used to be 6 years outdated when Quick Occasions at Ridgemont Excessive got here out. I wasn’t sufficiently old to look at it for an excellent variety of years, however I believe my sister let me watch it earlier. That was my first publicity to abortion and decisions that younger ladies generally make. I’m doing my finest to stave off the large 5-0, now. Getting medical remedy has been the norm my whole life. It’s been a few years and I nonetheless can’t wrap my head that it’s now not the case.

I can’t perceive why the federal government would intervene with the doctor-patient relationship. Why would any state threaten to jail (or worse) medical professionals for doing their job? That’s a sure-fire method to make healthcare on this nation worse and costlier. Who would vote for that?

It makes even much less sense that the federal government management on abortion can be on the state stage. Medical remedy is similar in Georgia as it’s in Vermont. Abortion isn’t carried out completely different in Georgia than Vermont. State elections ought to be about state points resembling funding for a state college or reparing a landmark from a pure catastrophe.

Judges

Trump was capable of exchange three Supreme Court docket justices throughout his final time period and we’ve seen a multitude because of that. Two of the oldest justics, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito have been caught in bribery and political scandals. The public belief within the Supreme Court docket is close to the bottom it has been within the final 40 years (in all probability longer):

The judges usually vote with the political social gathering of the President who nominated them. These unelected officers with lifetime appointments can change what has been settled regulation like abortion for many years. It’s not shocking that public belief is at an all-time low. Along with the scandals, the Democratic social gathering has received the favored vote within the 7 of the final 8 elections (relationship again to 1992), however the Supreme Court docket has 6 Republican and three Democratic appointed justices. When all 6 break a long time of settled precident to aspect with their social gathering and in opposition to the general public will – effectively, it’s a recipe for being unfavorable.

If Trump wins, the aforementioned two oldest judges might retire and get replaced with judges who’re 25 years youthful. As a result of lifetime appointments, the Supreme Court docket might proceed to take the regulation into their very own palms for possibly the subsequent 50 years.

From The Slicing Room Ground…

I had lots of enjoyable utilizing ChatGPT to make unbiased circumstances resembling what an excellent ecomony is and the way American ranks within the international image. I needed to finish with a number of the ChatGPTs that weren’t an excellent match for the financial articles. As with my earlier ChatGPTs, I instructed it to offer me an numeral score on a scale of 1 to 100. In the event you don’t like AI responses, it is a good time to scroll down and go away a remark in regards to the above a part of the article. I apologize for the formatting on the responses. ChatGPT appears to format solutions in another way for some cause.

Which Candidate is Extra Prone to Begin World Warfare 3?

I usually chat with a buddy with who both likes to troll, play Satan’s Advocate, or actually really feel that Trump is your best option. Generally she’d make a press release and I used ChatGPT as a impartial arbitrator. This query got here from that.

My Immediate:

Which candidate is extra more likely to trigger World Warfare 3? Restrict your response to 200 phrases.

ChatGPT’s Response

The probability of a candidate inflicting a worldwide battle, resembling World Warfare III, is dependent upon their overseas coverage strategy, diplomatic fashion, and willingness to escalate navy engagements.
Kamala Harris (Democratic Get together)

Diplomatic Method: Harris is extra inclined towards diplomacy and multilateral engagement. Her help for rebuilding worldwide alliances and prioritizing diplomacy with adversaries (e.g., re-engaging within the Iran nuclear deal) reduces the possibilities of escalating tensions into a worldwide battle.
Army Intervention: Harris helps focused, strategic use of navy pressure however has proven restraint in advocating for large-scale intervention.

Probability of Inflicting WWIII: Low (25/100)
Donald Trump (Republican Get together)

Unpredictability: Trump’s overseas coverage fashion is extra unilateral and confrontational. His withdrawal from international agreements, tensions with nations like Iran and North Korea, and confrontational rhetoric with China might heighten tensions. Whereas he prevented beginning wars throughout his presidency, his unpredictable strategy and willingness to make use of navy threats increase the potential for escalation.
Transactional Diplomacy: His strategy may inadvertently result in miscalculation in unstable areas.

Probability of Inflicting WWIII: Average (50/100)

Whereas neither candidate is very more likely to trigger a world battle, Trump’s unpredictable fashion poses a considerably larger threat of escalating conflicts.

Which Candidate has the Higher Character?

It’s laborious to measure character. I felt that it could be fascinating to see which candidate carefully matches values that I’d need my children to emulate. In spite of everything, that’s true management. With my children in Scouting America (Cub Scouts and Boy Scouts), I figured that the Scout Regulation can be an excellent place to begin. The Scout Regulation is, “A Scout is reliable, loyal, useful, pleasant, courteous, type, obedient, cheerful, thrifty, courageous, clear, and reverent.”

My Immediate:

Grade every candidate, Trump and Harris, on a scale of 1 to 10 on how they adhere to the Boy Scout Regulation

ChatGPT’s Response

Right here’s a grading for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump based mostly on their alignment with the Boy Scout Regulation. The 12 factors of the Boy Scout Regulation are: Reliable, Loyal, Useful, Pleasant, Courteous, Form, Obedient, Cheerful, Thrifty, Courageous, Clear, and Reverent. Every grade displays their public habits, insurance policies, and management fashion.
Kamala Harris (Democratic Get together)

Reliable: 7/10
    Harris typically tasks reliability, however some critics query the consistency of her positions, particularly on matters like legal justice reform.
Loyal: 9/10
    Harris has proven loyalty to her social gathering, her constituents, and the causes she advocates for, particularly on points like ladies’s rights and social justice.
Useful: 9/10
    All through her profession, Harris has labored on insurance policies to assist underserved communities, together with healthcare entry and legal justice reform.
Pleasant: 8/10
    Harris is identified for partaking thoughtfully and respectfully with folks, together with opponents throughout debates, reflecting a pleasant demeanor.
Courteous: 9/10
    She is usually praised for her courteousness, even when going through intense opposition or throughout contentious discussions.
Form: 8/10
    Harris has advocated for insurance policies that promote equity and equality, reflecting kindness, though her previous as a prosecutor has drawn criticism.
Obedient (to legal guidelines and techniques): 9/10
    Harris has a robust authorized background and a transparent respect for upholding legal guidelines and the Structure.
Cheerful: 7/10
    Harris typically presents herself with a constructive perspective, although her public persona is usually critical due to the gravity of the problems she addresses.
Thrifty: 6/10
    Some fiscal conservatives argue that Harris helps pricey social packages. Nevertheless, she believes in investing in folks, so this is extra of a subjective level.
Courageous: 9/10
Harris has taken courageous stances on controversial points like immigration, racial justice, and reproductive rights, usually in the face of robust opposition.
Clear: 8/10
There have been no main scandals or private points tarnishing her report, although political opponents have criticized her prosecutorial choices.
Reverent: 7/10
Harris respects folks’s non secular and moral beliefs, although she emphasizes secular values like justice and equality greater than spiritual reverence.

Total Common: 8/10
Donald Trump (Republican Get together)

Reliable: 4/10
    Trump has been criticized for frequent misstatements, which fact-checkers have highlighted all through his profession. Nevertheless, many of his supporters belief his total imaginative and prescient and agenda.
Loyal: 9/10
    Trump has demonstrated robust loyalty to his supporters and has persistently advocated for an "America First" agenda, prioritizing nationwide over international pursuits.
Useful: 5/10
    Trump’s insurance policies, such as tax cuts and deregulation, are seen as useful by many companies, however others argue they disproportionately profit the rich moderately than broader society.
Pleasant: 4/10
    Trump’s combative fashion, particularly in debates and public appearances, usually comes throughout as unfriendly, although he has a loyal private base that sees him as approachable.
Courteous: 3/10
    Trump has a popularity for being blunt, usually disparaging his opponents and even allies. This contrasts with the Scout worth of courteousness.
Form: 4/10
    Whereas some respect his directness, Trump’s remedy of marginalized teams, as effectively as his usually aggressive rhetoric, detracts from the thought of kindness.
Obedient (to legal guidelines and techniques): 5/10
    Trump has usually clashed with authorized establishments and pushed boundaries, particularly concerning govt energy. Whereas his supporters see this as difficult the established order, others view it as disregard for authorized norms.
Cheerful: 6/10
    Trump usually tasks confidence and vitality, particularly in rally settings, however he additionally focuses on grievances and criticisms, which might diminish a cheerful demeanor.
Thrifty: 7/10
    Trump advocates for slicing authorities rules and taxes, which appeals to fiscal conservatives, although his personal administration confronted criticism for rising the nationwide deficit.
Courageous: 9/10
Trump is daring in his strategy, usually taking unconventional positions and difficult each political norms and his opponents.
Clear: 4/10
Trump's presidency has been marked by quite a few authorized and moral controversies, from impeachment to lawsuits, which have an effect on his rating in this class.
Reverent: 6/10
Trump has expressed help for spiritual freedoms and aligned himself with Christian conservative values, although his private reverence for non secular or moral rules could not at all times align with conventional expectations.

Total Common: 5.5/10

Trump’s bravery and loyalty help his character rating. Harris matches his there and wins in each different class.

Remaining Ideas on the ChatGPTs

I didn’t embody a number of the ChatGPTs within the dialog with my buddy. A few of them like, “Who’s extra authoritarian” have been too apparent. Nevertheless, in all our debates, there was by no means one in Trump beat Harris. As I’m about to publish this text now, I requested ChatGPT why folks may vote for Trump. It identified Trump’s energy in three areas: financial system, overseas coverage, and judicial appointments.

I concede the judicial appointments. That’s a respectable political distinction that’s price voting for if that’s your perception. That stated, as coated above, most Individuals view the Supreme Court docket as unfavorable. On the opposite two, financial system and overseas coverage, ChatGPT graded Harris as a greater candidate for many Individuals than Trump.

Associated